We can expect that part of the debate to get rather heated over the rest of the day, and well into the weekend and this will inevitably distract a lot of people from the poll results themselves and what they actually mean. Still it's possible that there are a few readers out there who are level-headed enough to be interested in taking a look at the actual poll results and the data analysis, before they weigh into the debate.
Figure 2: Data analysis. Key:
- Kevin Rudd's approval rating. Consistent with past Newspoll findings - and the findings of other polling organisations - this appears to be above that of John Howard.
- John Howard's approval rating. Note that a large portion of John Howard's approval rating is in fact obscured by Kevin Rudd's approval rating.
- Bob Brown's approval rating. This is clearly much smaller than either John Howard's or Kevin Rudd's.
- The ALP's current primary vote.
- The coalition's primary vote. Once again, the ALP's primary vote appears to be above the coalition's primary vote, obscuring the actual size of the latter.
- Stuff that will have to be dissected away when the next Newspoll is conducted to get a clearer picture of the real situation.